Originally posted by archaic:
I suspect that the tea party may have peaked a bit early. I suspect that when the tea party House fails to deliver any more than the Obama House, that it may be a little tougher for the Glennbeckians to rally a lot of support in 2012. It will be made even more so if some crackpot like Rand Paul sticks his foot in his mouth a few times.
I mostly voted for Obama because the thought of electing a 127 year old man that sang 'bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran' at a press conference sent chills down my spine. My biggest gripe with him is that he is a fluff. If you had given GW the majorities that Obama had in the house and senete during his first year in office - Halliburton would have been running Medicaid and we would have 'liberated' Mexico.
Blackmamba, FYI - its a myth, there is no such thing as a fiscal conservative. They waste just as much money in different ways.
Jim DeMint, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey will be fiscally conservative senators. The fact that there aren't many doesn't mean that there isn't any.
The idea that the Tea Party has peaked is flawed. The Tea Party is motivated mostly by anti-government sentiment, that isn't going to change with Obama still as president. That isn't going to change if Pelosi wins the House Minority leadership position.
Blocking and trying to repeal the Democratic agenda is all the Republican party needs to do to maintain voter enthusiasm. In fact, most supporters would be happy about the idea of a stalemate in congress to block Obama's progressive agenda.
On the other hand, Obama is going to have a lot less support the next time around.
Even among his own party:
He faces a major fracture among support from gay voters. Many gay voters are furious over Valerie Jarrett commenting about the death of the student and mentioned his gay "Lifestyle choice." The idea that being gay is a choice is highly offensive and is preceived as ignorance among Obama's inner circle about the GLT community. Then there is disappointment about lack of action with regards to don't ask don't tell and gay marriage on the agenda.
Two of his Obama's voting blocks are in direct opposition with each other. Namely, African Americans vs Gays, Lesbian and Transgendered. When it come to gay marriage, most of the AA community is strongly against gay marriage. Obama's lack of action in advancing GLT causes is putting this schism at the forefront.
A large contingent of support for Obama came from his anti-Iraq stance. What a lot of Obama supporters didn't realize was that Obama thought it was a better idea to fight in Afghanistan instead. His own party base is strongly against his continued engagement in the Middle east, while Obama himself will not be ending Middle East military involvement any time soon.
Then there is fracturing among the Blue Dogs. The cap and trade issue combined with healthcare dug their graves. Democrats are going to face resounding defections in the next election.
In fact, the Republicans might be able to get some key legislative victories despite not holding the Senate because these career politicans are going to do what it takes to keep their positions, even if it means selling out their party.