Oct 15th 2012, 21:32:59
With the polls the way they are, I thought this was a perfect time to bring this up:
According to realclearpolitics.com, which averages a bunch of different national polls, Romney leads Obama by the slimmest of margins right now, 47.4 to 47.3.
However, if you click their "no toss ups" electoral map, which takes the current polling information and declares a winner, Obama/Biden win by a margin of 294-244 (not substantial in the big picture, but enough that Romney/Ryan most likely need to swing THREE of the contested states to win--two states is possible if they swing the right two, like Ohio and Wisconsin).